河北省2020年第四季度马铃薯市场形势分析及后市预测
Analysis of the Fourth Quarter of 2020 and Forecasting of Potato Price in Hebei Province
  
DOI:
中文关键词:  马铃薯  第四季度  价格分析  价格预测
英文关键词:Keywords: potato  the fourth quarter  price analysis  price forecasting
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魏子珍,赵铭月,王 哲* 河北农业大学经济管理学院河北 保定 071000 
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中文摘要:
      依据全国农产品批发市场价格信息系统对马铃薯的实时监控数据,以河北省2020年第四季度马铃薯价格为研究对象,对其进行横向、纵向比较,并分析影响马铃薯价格的因素。结果显示,河北省2020年第四季度马铃薯价格总体上呈现波动上升的趋势,月均价格持续上升,但涨幅逐渐缩小;季均价格低于山东、甘肃以及全国平均水平,且环比、同比皆为负增长。分析表明,马铃薯供给量增多、天气因素等是影响第四季度马铃薯价格变化的主要因素。最后,对2021年第一季度河北省马铃薯的价格走势作出了预测。
英文摘要:
      Abstract: According to the real-time monitoring data of potato from the price information system of the national agricultural products wholesale market, taking the potato price in the fourth quarter of 2020 in Hebei province as the research object, the potato price in the fourth quarter of Hebei province was compared horizontally and vertically, and the influencing factors of potato price were analyzed. The results showed that the potato price in Hebei province in the fourth quarter of 2020 showed an overall upward trend of fluctuation, the monthly average price continued to rise, but the increase gradually narrowed. The quarterly average price was lower than Shandong province, Gansu province and the national average, and the month-on-month and year-on-year growth were negative. The analysis showed that the increase of potato supply and weather factors were the main factors affecting the price change of potato in the fourth quarter. Finally, the price trend of potato in Hebei province in the first quarter of 2021 was predicted.
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