2019年1—7月葱姜蒜价格变动与后期走势
Price Change and Late Trend of Scallion, Ginger and Garlic in January-July 2019
  
DOI:
中文关键词:  大葱  生姜    价格变动  价格预测
英文关键词:Keywords: scallion  ginger  garlic  price change  price forecast
基金项目:国家特色蔬菜产业技术体系建设专项(CARS-24-08B);河北现代农业产业技术体系蔬菜创新团队项目(HBCT2018030301)。
作者单位
连恒博,宗义湘*,赵邦宏 河北农业大学经济管理学院河北 保定 071000 
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中文摘要:
      依据全国葱姜蒜批发价格的实时监控数据,从时间、省际等角度对2019年1—7月葱姜蒜价格变化情况进行分析,结果发现:大葱价格和生姜价格具有季节性波动的特征,大蒜价格受前期价格低迷的影响,处于高位运行;通过2016—2019年月度价格对比,2019年大葱和生姜价格处于中上水平,大蒜价格处于较低水平;通过葱姜蒜主产省份价格之间的比较,发现山东省具有价格优势。未来预测:大葱价格有所回落,生姜价格持稳,大蒜价格下行。
英文摘要:
      Abstract: Based on the real-time monitoring datas of the wholesale price of scallion, ginger and garlic in China, the price changes of scallion, ginger and garlic from January to July of 2019 were analyzed from time and provincial perspectives. The results showed that the price of scallion and ginger had seasonal fluctuation characteristics, and the price of garlic was affected by the previous price depression, it was running at a high level. The price of scallion and ginger in 2019 was at the upper and middle level, while the price of garlic was at a lower level. It was found that Shandong province had a price advantage by comparing the prices of the main producing provinces of scallion, ginger and garlic. It is forecasted that the price of scallion will fall, the price of ginger will remain stable, and the price of garlic will fall.
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