2018年春节期间蔬菜市场形势分析及预测
Vegetable Market Situation Analysis and Forecast During the Spring Festival of 2018
  
DOI:
中文关键词:  蔬菜  生产  市场价格  南菜北运  预测
英文关键词:Keywords: Vegetable  Production  Market price  South-to-north vegetable transfer  Forecast
基金项目:国家自然科学基金(71703159;71573263)。
作者单位
张 晶,沈 辰,彭 华,张洪宇,吴建寨* 中国农业科学院农业信息研究所/农业部农业信息服务技术重点实验室北京 100081 
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中文摘要:
      春节期间是菜价高位运行、暴涨暴跌易发的敏感时期,蔬菜市场运行情况受到各方重点关注。根据农业部蔬菜全产业链信息会商分析,若无持续、大面积的灾害天气,预计2018春节期间蔬菜市场平稳运行,供应上市充足,蔬菜价格保持合理波动,或将环比波动上涨、同比略涨;但也要做好风险防范、市场监测、信息发布等工作,确保城乡居民对节日“菜篮子”基本满意。
英文摘要:
      Abstract: The Spring Festival is a sensitive period when vegetable prices maintain high level and areprone to high volatility, which attract attention from all kinds of stakeholders. According to the consultation analysis of Ministry of Agriculture on the information about the whole vegetable industry chain, barring extreme weather conditions on a large scale for a long time, it was expected that vegetable production would remain relatively stable in 2018 during the Spring Festival and the supply would be adequate. Vegetable prices were predicted to hold steady with a likely trend to rise slightly. Meanwhile, it would be significant to implement the risk prevention, market monitoring, information dissemination and so on to ensure the satisfaction with the "vegetable basket" from both urban and rural residents during the Spring Festival.
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